Дневен пазарен анализ 29.03.2021 - форекс

Дневен пазарен анализ на #US500​ #DAX​ #Gold​ #Silver​ #Crude​ oil #Bitcoin​ #Ethereum​ #EGLD​ #LINK​ #DOT​ #XRP​ #EURUSD​ #GBPUSD​ #USDCAD​ #USDCHF​ #USDJPY

Дневен пазарен анализ 29.03.2021 - Крипто валути

Дневен пазарен анализ на #US500​ #DAX​ #Gold​ #Silver​ #Crude​ oil #Bitcoin​ #Ethereum​ #EGLD​ #LINK​ #DOT​ #XRP​ #EURUSD​ #GBPUSD​ #USDCAD​ #USDCHF​ #USDJPY

Дневен пазарен анализ 29.03.2021 - Суровини

Дневен пазарен анализ на #US500​ #DAX​ #Gold​ #Silver​ #Crude​ oil #Bitcoin​ #Ethereum​ #EGLD​ #LINK​ #DOT​ #XRP​ #EURUSD​ #GBPUSD​ #USDCAD​ #USDCHF​ #USDJPY

Дневен пазарен анализ 29.03.2021- Индекси

Дневен пазарен анализ на #US500​ #DAX​ #Gold​ #Silver​ #Crude​ oil #Bitcoin​ #Ethereum​ #EGLD​ 

Дневен пазарен анализ на #EURUSD​ #GBPUSD​ #USDCAD​ #USDCHF​ #USDJPY

Дневен пазарен анализ 26.03.2021 - Форекс

Дневен пазарен анализ на #Gold​ #Silver​ #Crude​ oil

Дневен пазарен анализ 26.03.2021 - Суровини

Дневен пазарен анализ на #Bitcoin​ #Ethereum​ #EGLD​ #LINK​ #DOT​ #XRP​

 Дневен пазарен анализ 26.03.2021 - Крипто валути

Дневен пазарен анализ на #US500​ #DAX​

Дневен пазарен анализ 26.03.2021 - Индекси

Pulse of the Market-A fresh spike in U.S Treasury yields

A fresh spike in U.S Treasury yields sparked a risk-off move in global currency markets on Friday, with the dollar reversing its fall from earlier in the week and riskier currencies taking a hit. Market participants have grown wary in recent weeks that there could be a spike in inflation caused by massive fiscal stimulus and pent-up consumer demand when economies reopen from coronavirus lockdowns. Although soft U.S CPI data on Wednesday went some way to calm those fears, U.S Treasuries sold off again on Friday, with the 10-year yield rising above 1.6%. The dollar was up 0.5% on the day at 91.907, and on track to end the week little changed overall having failed to regain Tuesday’s peak of 92.506, which was its strongest since November. There is concern over inflation in the months ahead and that sense is dollar-supportive. It looks like pretty upbeat in the United States in terms of rollout of further vaccine plays, and of course that feeds into the economic recovery in the States, and a time when fiscal stimulus is extremely high, monetary stimulus is extremely high. President Joe Biden told U.S states on Thursday to make all adults eligible for a coronavirus vaccine by May 1, hours after he signed a $1.9 trillion stimulus bill into law. My personal view is that the dollar is not on a trajectory for a higher fundamental trend. Riskier currencies lost out, erasing recent gains. The Australian dollar - which is seen as a liquid proxy for risk appetite - fell by 0.7% to 0.774310 versus the U.S dollar . The European Central Bank said on Thursday that it would increase the pace of its money printing to prevent a rise in euro zone bond yields. Although the euro was down around 0.6% at $1.1918, it was set for a small weekly gain. The ECB “holistic” approach to keep financing conditions favorable is too vague in our view to focus minds and drive the EUR lower; the US data and the Fed remain the main market drivers. Market attention now turns to the U.S Federal Reserve’s policy meeting next week, where traders will be looking for any comments about rising yields. Dollar-yen was up around 0.4%, changing hands at 108.945 , close to the 109.235 reached on Tuesday which had been the yen’s weakest since June 2020. Struggling under the third wave of the COVID-19 pandemic, the euro zone economy will need at least until the autumn to turn a corner, outgoing Lithuanian central bank chief Vitas Vasiliauskas told reporters on Friday.

Daily Market View- U.S Stock Market

The blue-chip Dow powered to its fifth consecutive record high on Friday as investors bought shares that should benefit from a strong reopening of the U.S economy, an outlook signaled by rising yields in the bond market. The tech-heavy NASDAQ tumbled after rebounding more than 6% over the past three sessions and the S&P 500 closed flat after hitting an all-time high the prior session as rising Treasury yields revived inflation concerns. The NASDAQ and S&P 500 posted their best week in five after President Joe Biden signed into law on Thursday one of the largest U.S fiscal stimulus bills and data reinforced convictions the economy was headed to a high-growth recovery. The recent rise in U.S Treasury yields has raised fears of a sudden tapering of monetary stimulus and put downward pressure on Wall Street in recent weeks. The rising Dow and tumbling NASDAQ reflect an ongoing sell-off in tech as investors buy cyclical and underpriced value stocks that are expected to do well as the economy recovers.

Dow Jones Industrial Average

 The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.90% to hit a new all-time high. The best performers of the session on the Dow Jones Industrial Average were Boeing Co, which rose 6.82% or 17.19 points to trade at 269.19 at the close. Meanwhile, Caterpillar Inc. added 4.20% or 9.24 points to end at 229.00 and Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc. was up 3.28% or 1.69 points to 53.21 in late trade. The worst performers of the session were Salesforce.com Inc., which fell 1.73% or 3.74 points to trade at 212.21 at the close. Visa Inc. declined 0.79% or 1.79 points to end at 224.36 and Apple Inc. was down 0.76% or 0.93 points to 121.03.

NASDAQ 100

 The NASDAQ index lost 0.59%. The top performers on the NASDAQ Composite were NLS Pharmaceutics AG which rose 107.45% to 5.85, Entera Bio Ltd which was up 70.79% to settle at 6.900 and Seelos Therapeutics Inc. which gained 56.25% to close at 4.750. The worst performers were Marker Therapeutics Inc. which was down 23.32% to 1.94 in late trade, Evoke Pharma Inc. which lost 20.97% to settle at 2.450 and Poshmark Inc. which was down 19.90% to 47.63 at the close.

Oil

Oil settled near $66 a barrel on Friday, supported by production cuts by major oil producers and optimism about a demand recovery in the second half of the year. U.S crude also ended down 41 cents to $65.61 a barrel. Demand for risky assets such as oil continues to be buoyed by the White House relief package and an almost daily flow of optimistic vaccine headlines. The OPEC forecast a stronger oil demand recovery this year, weighted to the second half. OPEC, Russia and its allies decided last week to maintain its output curbs almost unchanged. U.S drillers are also holding back, cutting the number of oil and natural gas rigs operating for the first time since November, according to data from energy services firm Baker Hughes Co. The stronger-than-expected rebound in the second half of this year implies that the global economy and hence oil demand outlook is close to shaking off its COVID woes. The U.S, world’s largest oil consumer, saw a big draw on U.S. gasoline stocks last week as the winter storm in Texas disrupted refining output.

Precious and Base Metals

Gold prices slipped on Friday as a surge in U.S Treasury yields and a stronger dollar dented demand for non-yielding metal, although bullion was heading for its first weekly rise in four. Spot gold was down 0.5% at $1,712.50 per ounce. Bullion is up 0.8% so far this week. U.S gold futures fell 0.7% to $1,709.60. Rates had slumped over the last few days as a result of a short squeeze on the Treasury market. Now with rates immediately rising back to the psychologically important 1.6% is weighing on financial conditions broadly. The dollar is also tied to the shadow of the rising rates. So, in this context that's obviously not the environment where investment flows are likely to move towards gold. Benchmark U.S. Treasury yields rose back towards a more than one-year peak above 1.6% hit on March 5, while the dollar index jumped 0.5%. Some investors view gold as a hedge against higher inflation that could follow stimulus measures, but higher Treasury yields dull some of the appeal of the non-yielding commodity. President Joe Biden on Thursday signed his $1.9 trillion stimulus bill into law and said he was working to move the United States closer to normality by July 4. With physical demand providing something of a floor, we doubt that the gold price will fall below $1,600 per ounce this year. Given our forecast for industrial metals prices to fall later this year, we wouldn't be surprised if the price of silver fell relative to the price of gold. Silver fell 1.6% to $25.67 an ounce, but was on track for its first weekly gain in four weeks. Palladium rose 1.2% to $2,372.10. Platinum eased 0.2% to $1,193.20 an ounce, but was up 5.8% for the week.

Traditional Agricultures

Wheat futures extended losses on Friday to a one-month low as rain forecast for dry parts of the U.S Plains eased supply concerns. Soybean edged lower as it moved back from a near seven-year high this week, with the market weighing increased estimates of Brazil's soybean harvest against a declining outlook for Argentina. Corn also eased, with traders awaiting indications about U.S spring planting trends and fresh signs of Chinese demand. The upcoming rainfall to the U.S Hard Red Winter wheat regions, including the very western third, continues to weigh on prices.

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Pulse of the Market-European Central Bank

To the market’s surprise, the European Central Bank announced plans to purchase bonds at a “significantly higher pace” over the next quarter. The decision was motivated by the recent rise in yields and concerns that “headline inflation is likely to increase in the coming months,” according to central bank President Christine Lagarde. Yesterday’s move widens their distance with the Federal Reserve who does not see the increase in bond yields and inflation as a problem. This comes as the European Union’s vaccine rollout faces more setbacks with delivery delays and new concerns about AstraZeneca’s vaccine. The vaccine’s use was halted temporarily in a few countries on concerns about increased risk of blood clots. Euro traded lower after the ECB decision but the decline did not erase all of its earlier gains against the dollar. The pair ended the day unchanged in part because of the central bank’s economic projections. The ECB raised its GDP and inflation forecasts for 2020 and 2021. This year, they expect the economy to expand by 4% and inflation to rise 1.5%. While the ECB expects the annualized CPI rate to hover around 1.5%, they said it could rise to 2% on a technical and temporary basis. Until the Eurozone recovery gains momentum, we continue to expect EUR/USD to underperform, especially if U.S yields continue to rise. The Federal Reserve meets next week and they’ll update their economic projections. Stronger numbers will underscore the divide between the U.S and Eurozone recoveries this year. The U.S dollar traded lower against most of the major currencies despite improvements in jobless claims and according to the Biden Administration, stimulus checks will start going out by the end of the month. The continued rise in Treasury yields reflects the market’s optimism. Producer prices and the University of Michigan’s consumer sentiment index are scheduled for release today. Stronger numbers are expected all around. After a week of quiet, sterling comes into focus on Friday with the release of monthly GDP, industrial production and trade data. Most of these reports are expected to be better as the U.K economy continues its recovery.

U.S Stock Market- Traditional Agricultures Soybean

Soybean futures edged higher today as concerns about crops in South America stoked worries over global supplies. Soybeans are down 1.5% for the week, the first weekly loss in five and the biggest seven-day slide in nearly two months. Corn futures down more than 1.5% for the week, the second straight weekly fall. Wheat futures down more than 1.5% for the week, the second straight weekly loss. Weekend storms are set to soak the U.S Plains wheat belt, much of which has endured dry conditions for several months.

U.S Stock Market-Precious and Base Metals Gold

Gold eased off a one-week high yesterday after U.S Treasury yields rose after better-than-expected jobless claims data. Spot gold fell 0.1% to $1,725.00 per ounce, after hitting its highest since March 3 at $1,739.63 earlier. U.S gold futures settled little changed at $1,722.60. 10-year Treasury yields have now bounced again, which has stabilized the dollar and is taking some air out of gold. We may have seen short-term lows at $1,680 per ounce, but a higher-yield environment is likely to prevent a significant rally. Data showed the number of Americans filing new claims for jobless benefits dropped to a four-month low last week. Better-than-expected economic numbers lifted 10-year Treasury yields above 1.5%, while the dollar index moved away from a one-week low. Bond yields have been rising in recent weeks on worries about problematic inflation surfacing as the major economies of the world have turned on their money spigots wide open over the past year. While gold is considered a hedge against inflation from widespread stimulus, higher bond yields this year have threatened that status as they translate into a higher opportunity cost of holding bullion. The European Central Bank said it would use its 1.85 trillion Pandemic Emergency Purchase Program more generously over coming months to stop any unwarranted rise in debt financing costs. A $1.9 trillion U.S COVID-19 relief bill was also approved on Wednesday. Silver fell 0.2% to $26.12 per ounce. Palladium eased 0.2% to $1,200.11 per ounce, while platinum gained 1.6% to $2,343.95. Copper headlines have been everywhere lately, with the economic recovery and a move toward green technology boosting prices to 9.5-year highs.

U.S Stock Market-CRUDE OIL

Oil prices rose more than 2% yesterday on a weaker dollar and expectations that a crude glut would be short-lived due to a steep fall in U.S fuel stocks and a resumption of operations by Texas refiners. U.S West Texas Intermediate crude for April ended the session $1.58 or 2.5% higher, at $66.02. U.S Treasury yields fell yesterday as concern about a strong pick-up in inflation eased and focus turned to an auction of 30-year government debt. The dollar fell for a third straight day and was at its lowest level in a week against a basket of currencies. Fewer than expected Americans filed new claims for unemployment benefits last week as an improving public health environment allows more segments of the economy to reopen. A massive draw on U.S. gasoline stocks has also helped to boost oil prices. Crude inventories, however, rose by 13.8 million barrels in the week to March 5 to 498.4 million barrels, compared with analysts’ expectations in a Reuter’s poll for an 816,000-barrel rise.

U.S Stock Market-NASDAQ 100

The NASDAQ index gained 2.52%. The top performers on the NASDAQ Composite were Entera Bio Ltd which rose 152.50% to 4.040, Nova Lifestyle I which was up 87.08% to settle at 4.490 and ENGlobal Corporation which gained 43.81% to close at 6.5000. The worst performers were Enveric Biosciences Inc. which was down 23.35% to 3.480 in late trade, AVEO Pharmaceuticals Inc. which lost 22.32% to settle at 11.8700 and Celsius Holdings Inc. which was down 21.77% to 47.37 at the close.

U.S Stock Market-Dow Jones Industrial Average

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.58% to hit a new all-time high. The best performers of the session on the Dow Jones Industrial Average were Boeing Co, which rose 2.71% or 6.66 points to trade at 252.00 at the close. Meanwhile, Nike Inc. added 2.62% or 3.60 points to end at 141.19 and Microsoft Corporation was up 2.03% or 4.71 points to 237.13 in late trade. The worst performers of the session were Verizon Communications Inc., which fell 2.75% or 1.57 points to trade at 55.51 at the close. Coca-Cola Co declined 1.09% or 0.56 points to end at 50.88 and McDonald’s Corporation was down 0.82% or 1.74 points to 211.57.

U.S Stock Market-S&P 500 and Dow Jones

The S&P 500 and the Dow hit all-time highs yesterday as worries about rising inflation subsided, while a bigger-than-expected fall in weekly jobless claims and the signing of a massive stimulus bill reinforced expectations of a strong recovery. Mega-cap stocks Apple Inc., Microsoft Corp, Facebook Inc. and Tesla Inc. gained between 2.4% and 4%, recouping losses from a recent pullback and helping the benchmark S&P 500 surpass its Feb. 16 peak of 3,950.43. The blue-chip Dow scaled a new record for the fourth straight session, while the tech-heavy NASDAQ is now less than 5% below its Feb. 12 peak after slumping over 10% to confirm a correction at the beginning of this week. President Joe Biden signed his $1.9 trillion stimulus bill into law yesterday, commemorating the one-year anniversary of a U.S lockdown over the coronavirus pandemic with a measure designed to bring relief to Americans and boost the economy.

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