Despite the rebound of European stocks, gold is unable to sustain any solid recovery and is still trading below $1,500. Yesterday we had a first attempt at a recovery, as the price rebounded strongly from the support level of $1,450, but the main trend remains unchanged. It is clear that the selloff of gold extends far beyond fundamental reasons as investors are still struggling to find cash for covering margin calls or rebalancing their portfolio amid these turbulent and volatile times. Cash, rather than gold, seems to be the real king in this scenario.
Tuesday, March 17, 2020
GOLD
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Monday, March 16, 2020
EUROPEAN SHARES
Shares tumbled on Monday, alongside Asian markets, despite risk assets seeing a solid rebound at the end of last week. Panic and uncertainty remain the overriding themes as investors digest the latest negative economic developments caused by Covid-19. The strong degradation of the global economic outlook took a step further as more and more retail industries shut businesses down while many European nations took the decision to close borders and confine people at home in a move to delay the spread of the deadly virus. The Federal Reserve tried to reassure investors and stabilize prices and liquidity with an historical rate cut of 1 basis point, but even that didn’t trigger any bullish price action on markets.
Despite the global response from monetary policy makers, investors now wonder what else central banks can do to mitigate the downside risk brought by coronavirus as well as put a floor on risk assets and sustain a solid recovery. European benchmarks are all trading lower with the Stoxx-600 Index sinking to its lowest since 2013 with all sectors in red territory. However, there are signs of price stabilization on bond markets, which could indicate a consolidation on European share markets this week.
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GOLD
The gold price jumped up to $1,570 on today’s open, far higher than Friday’s close, before returning to $1,535. Despite the huge liquidity that the Federal Reserve is splashing into markets, bullion seems to be unable to recover, at least for the time being, after last week's sell off. We are in a scenario where investors are selling whatever they can and this has also affected gold, probably more than it should be. The price is now dancing around the key support level of $1,530-$1,540, with large amounts of volatility. If bullion can manage to hold these levels then there is a good chance of a rebound to $1,575-$1,580.
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EUROPEAN SHARES-ЕВРОПЕЙСКИ АКЦИИ
Акциите се сринаха в понеделник, наред с азиатските пазари, въпреки рисковите активи, които отбелязаха солиден спад в края на миналата седмица. Паниката и несигурността остават най-важните теми, тъй като инвеститорите усвояват последните негативни икономически последици, причинени от Covid-19. Силната деградация на глобалните икономически перспективи направи крачка напред, тъй като все повече индустрии на дребно затварят бизнеса, докато много европейски държави взеха решение да затворят границите и да ограничат хората у дома, за да забавят разпространението на смъртоносния вирус. Федералният резерв се опита да успокои инвеститорите и да стабилизира цените и ликвидността с исторически спад на 1 базова точка, но дори това предизвика бичи ценови действия на пазарите.
Избягвайки глобалния отговор от страна на създателите на парична политика, инвеститорите сега се чудят какво още могат да направят централните банки, за да смекчат риска от намаление, който носи коронавирусът, както и да поставят дъното на рисковите активи и да поддържат стабилно възстановяване. Всички европейски референтни стойности са по-ниски, като индексът Stoxx-600 потъва до най-ниското си ниво от 2013 г. насам, като всички сектори са на червена територия. Има обаче признаци на стабилизиране на цените на облигационните пазари, което може да означава консолидация на европейските пазари на акции тази седмица.
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GOLD-ЗЛАТО
Цената на златото скочи до 1570$ при днешното отваряне, далеч по-висока от края на петък, преди да достигне 1,535$. Като се има предвид огромната ликвидност, която Федералният резерв разпилява на пазарите, изглежда, кюлчетата не могат да се възстановят, поне засега, след разпродажбата миналата седмица. Ние сме в сценарий, при който инвеститорите продават каквото могат и това също се е отразило на златото, вероятно повече, отколкото трябва да бъде. Цената сега се танцува около ключовото ниво на подкрепа от 1530 до 1540 долара, с големи количества променливост. Ако кюлчетата успеят да задържат тези нива, тогава има голям шанс за възстановяване до $ 1,575 - $ 1,580.
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Thursday, March 12, 2020
CRUDE OIL - WTI
Stocks are plummeting as risk off continues to dominate. The combination of coronavirus and an oil war is weighing heavily on oil prices, with investors not betting on a quick resolution of the dispute between Russia and Saudi Arabia.
In this hugely volatile scenario, it is difficult to find technical price levels for WTI. That said, in the last few hours the barrel is trying to build a support at $30.90, while the next key level would be the psychological threshold of $30.
In this hugely volatile scenario, it is difficult to find technical price levels for WTI. That said, in the last few hours the barrel is trying to build a support at $30.90, while the next key level would be the psychological threshold of $30.
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