Пазарен Анализ ПЕТРОЛ CRUDE OIL

След шест поредни търговски сесии на спад, цената на петрола най-сетне реагира вчера, като се събра в заключителната част на европейската сесия. Петролът се възстанови до $ 53,20, без да се нуждае от нивото на подкрепа от $ 51,50, но засега сценарият за рискове продължава да доминира и петролът не успя да продължи възстановяването си. Технически ще имаме положителен сигнал, ако цената надхвърли 53,20 долара, с пространство за допълнителни митинги към потенциална цел от 54,80 до 55 долара.

Обратно, падането под ниското ниво, достигнато вчера на $ 52, ще означава допълнителна нестабилност, което ще отвори място за нов тест на ключовата зона на съпорт, поставен между $ 51 и $ 51,50.

Форекс Пазарен Анализ GBP

Паундът показва слабост както към еврото, така и към долара, като загуби почти 0,4% спрямо двете валути по време на ранната част на търговската сесия във вторник. Опасението на инвеститорите за това, че има достатъчно време Великобритания и ЕС да постигнат търговско споразумение преди края на 2020 г., хвърля сянка върху стерлингите. Настоящият сценарий може да бъде преамбюл за това, което ще дойде по-късно през годината; с наближаване на крайния срок и сценарий за безвъзмездна сделка отново поеме заглавията, ще има допълнителен риск за намаляване на британската лира.

FOREX Daily Pivot Points 28.01.2020

FOREX Calendar-Economic Release 28.01.2020

#Apple #Amazon #Google #Intel #IAlibaba and those within the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index took huge losses

• The US large-cap indices retreated more than 1.5% on Monday, as the continued outbreak of the #coronavirus triggered more profit taking and some overdue selling. #Dow -453.93 at 28535.71, #Nasdaq -175.60 at 9139.33, #S&P 500 -51.84 at 3243.63.

• Updates on the spreading coronavirus produced another round of financial market derisking that boosted the #yen #JPY, #dollar #USD and swiss franc #CHF, versus the other majors, particularly those with the greatest exposure to tumbling #commodity prices and repatriation of risk-on carry trades.

• EM currencies were clobbered and the offshore #yuan tumbled well below the 200-DMA it finally broke below with the Phase 1 trade deal signing.

• #Oil and #copper remain in a controlled collapse, while S&Ps extended last week’s losses after spectacular gains the past few months. Dow suffers steepest drop in months.

• #Apple (#AAPL -2.94%), #Amazon.com (#AMZN -1.79%), #GOOGL -2.53%, #Intel (#INTC -4.06%) #Alibaba (#BABA -3.87%), and those within the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (-3.9%) took huge losses.

• Major government yield curve flattening in the search for safe-havens have US money markets more than pricing in a Fed rate cut at the Nov. 5 meeting, two days after the election, and 23bp worth of easing by the September meeting.

Several countries – China, Hong Kong, Taiwan, South Korea, Singapore and Malaysia – are closed for the Chinese New Year

• 1 trade deal was finally signed. WTI’s plunged 18% from its Jan. 8 peak, with the #coronavirus seen hitting transportation and energy demand particularly hard and ME supply disruption threats downgraded for now. 

• Fears about the human and financial impact of the coronavirus have dominated financial markets in the Asian session. Several countries – China, Hong Kong, Taiwan, South Korea, Singapore and Malaysia – are closed for the Chinese New Year and this has impacted liquidity; to some extent it’s also exacerbated the moves.

• FX is relatively calm, but stocks and oil are under pressure, while USTs have caught a decent bid. #Gold is also firmer, as investors look for safety.

• The Q4 earnings season continues in the US - 147 S&P 500 companies (including 14 Dow 30 components) are scheduled to report results for fourth quarter. #Apple (#AAPL), 3M (MMM), #Pfizer (#PFE), AT&T (T), #Boeing (BA), General Electric (GE), #Microsoft (#MSFT), #Tesla (#TSLA), #Coca-Cola (#KO), UPS (UPS), #Amazon (#AMZN), #Caterpillar (CAT) and Exxon Mobil (XOM) are just a few of the big-name companies due to report their quarterly results.

• As the lunar new year holiday approaches, the focus will remain on news about the virus, with some interest in the Jan. 29 FOMC meeting and possible upward tweak to the IOER rate and any commentary regarding the curve flattening trend. The Bank of England interest rate decision Jan. 30 also will be interesting and certainly market moving intraday as markets are split 55/54 in favour of a rate cut of 25bps.